Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयापाप्पास 30–35% 98.3%
पैपस 35–40% 2.9%
पप्पास 25–30% 2.9%
पप्पास 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 वॉल्यूम
$6,345 वॉल्यूम

पैपस 40%+
2%

पैपस 35–40%
3%

पाप्पास 30–35%
98%

पप्पास 25–30%
3%

पप्पास 20–25%
3%

पाप्स 15–20%
3%

पप्पास 10–15%
<1%

पप्पास 5–10%
<1%

पप्पास 0–5%
<1%

मंज़ूर 0–5%
<1%

मंज़ूर 5%+
<1%
पाप्पास 30–35% 98.3%
पैपस 35–40% 2.9%
पप्पास 25–30% 2.9%
पप्पास 20–25% 2.9%
$6,345 वॉल्यूम
$6,345 वॉल्यूम

पैपस 40%+
2%

पैपस 35–40%
3%

पाप्पास 30–35%
98%

पप्पास 25–30%
3%

पप्पास 20–25%
3%

पाप्स 15–20%
3%

पप्पास 10–15%
<1%

पप्पास 5–10%
<1%

पप्पास 0–5%
<1%

मंज़ूर 0–5%
<1%

मंज़ूर 5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 1:45 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory in the Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be the New Hampshire Secretary of State, https://www.sos.nh.gov/.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Chris Pappas secured the New Hampshire Democratic Senate nomination on September 8 with roughly 65 percent of the vote to Karishma Manzur’s 33 percent, producing a margin that aligns with the market’s dominant 30–35 percent outcome. Pappas benefited from early endorsements by retiring Senator Jeanne Shaheen and national figures including Kamala Harris, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million against Manzur’s under $500,000. As the four-term incumbent representative positioned as a pragmatic centrist, he maintained broad party support despite Manzur’s progressive appeals on healthcare and foreign policy. With final results now public and only minor outstanding ballots or certification steps remaining, traders see limited scope for shifts unless late adjustments materially alter the certified tally.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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