The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the NY-16 House election market due to the district’s D+18 partisan voter index, its concentration of Democratic voters across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, and incumbent George Latimer’s automatic advancement through an uncontested June 2026 primary. Race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Latimer’s 71.5% margin in 2024 and the absence of meaningful Republican primary activity or recent polling shifts. Joseph Cinquemani’s nomination faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic turnout and fundraising have historically dominated. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, incumbent health events, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan math.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNY -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
NY -16 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$41,135 वॉल्यूम
$41,135 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
2%
$41,135 वॉल्यूम
$41,135 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$30,678 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$10,457 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the NY-16 House election market due to the district’s D+18 partisan voter index, its concentration of Democratic voters across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, and incumbent George Latimer’s automatic advancement through an uncontested June 2026 primary. Race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Latimer’s 71.5% margin in 2024 and the absence of meaningful Republican primary activity or recent polling shifts. Joseph Cinquemani’s nomination faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic turnout and fundraising have historically dominated. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, incumbent health events, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,135समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the NY-16 House election market due to the district’s D+18 partisan voter index, its concentration of Democratic voters across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, and incumbent George Latimer’s automatic advancement through an uncontested June 2026 primary. Race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Latimer’s 71.5% margin in 2024 and the absence of meaningful Republican primary activity or recent polling shifts. Joseph Cinquemani’s nomination faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic turnout and fundraising have historically dominated. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, incumbent health events, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$41,135समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the NY-16 House election market due to the district’s D+18 partisan voter index, its concentration of Democratic voters across southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, and incumbent George Latimer’s automatic advancement through an uncontested June 2026 primary. Race raters classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Latimer’s 71.5% margin in 2024 and the absence of meaningful Republican primary activity or recent polling shifts. Joseph Cinquemani’s nomination faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic turnout and fundraising have historically dominated. Late developments that could narrow the gap include major scandals, incumbent health events, or an unusually strong national Republican wave capable of overcoming the district’s underlying partisan math.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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