The crowded field of announced candidates for the October 17, 2026 Richmond, BC municipal election has produced a tight race in which no one has consolidated broad support. A June 2026 Pallas Data poll showed independent Kash Heed at 20 percent, Sheldon Starrett at 11 percent, Alexa Loo at 9 percent, and nearly half the electorate still undecided, reflecting the early stage and limited name recognition across slates such as Richmond Strong, Conservative Richmond, Action Richmond, and Richmond Forward. Traders assign the highest probability to Loo while pricing several others in the teens to mid-20s, consistent with a fragmented electorate where late shifts among undecided voters or endorsements could quickly reorder the standings ahead of the general vote.