Putin's regime maintains firm control through elite consolidation, security service oversight, and suppression of dissent, with no verified military or political fractures emerging despite war-related strains. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes on infrastructure and reports of economic pressures have coincided with modest dips in state pollster ratings for the president, yet United Russia candidates and loyalists continue to dominate preparations for the September 2026 Duma elections. Speculation around figures like Sergei Shoigu surfaced earlier in the year but produced no concrete actions, consistent with the post-2023 tightening of internal security after the Wagner episode. Traders assign high probability to no coup attempt occurring by year-end, viewing the combination of patronage networks, information controls, and focus on external conflict as effective barriers to organized challenges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6% संभावना
$128,993 वॉल्यूम
$128,993 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
6% संभावना
$128,993 वॉल्यूम
$128,993 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime maintains firm control through elite consolidation, security service oversight, and suppression of dissent, with no verified military or political fractures emerging despite war-related strains. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes on infrastructure and reports of economic pressures have coincided with modest dips in state pollster ratings for the president, yet United Russia candidates and loyalists continue to dominate preparations for the September 2026 Duma elections. Speculation around figures like Sergei Shoigu surfaced earlier in the year but produced no concrete actions, consistent with the post-2023 tightening of internal security after the Wagner episode. Traders assign high probability to no coup attempt occurring by year-end, viewing the combination of patronage networks, information controls, and focus on external conflict as effective barriers to organized challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$128,993समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin's regime maintains firm control through elite consolidation, security service oversight, and suppression of dissent, with no verified military or political fractures emerging despite war-related strains. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes on infrastructure and reports of economic pressures have coincided with modest dips in state pollster ratings for the president, yet United Russia candidates and loyalists continue to dominate preparations for the September 2026 Duma elections. Speculation around figures like Sergei Shoigu surfaced earlier in the year but produced no concrete actions, consistent with the post-2023 tightening of internal security after the Wagner episode. Traders assign high probability to no coup attempt occurring by year-end, viewing the combination of patronage networks, information controls, and focus on external conflict as effective barriers to organized challenges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$128,993समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Putin's regime maintains firm control through elite consolidation, security service oversight, and suppression of dissent, with no verified military or political fractures emerging despite war-related strains. Recent Ukrainian drone strikes on infrastructure and reports of economic pressures have coincided with modest dips in state pollster ratings for the president, yet United Russia candidates and loyalists continue to dominate preparations for the September 2026 Duma elections. Speculation around figures like Sergei Shoigu surfaced earlier in the year but produced no concrete actions, consistent with the post-2023 tightening of internal security after the Wagner episode. Traders assign high probability to no coup attempt occurring by year-end, viewing the combination of patronage networks, information controls, and focus on external conflict as effective barriers to organized challenges.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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