Putin’s centralized control and the absence of organized challenges from military or security elites continue to underpin trader expectations of stability in Russia through the end of 2026. Recent internal personnel shifts within the FSB and security services reflect factional competition over influence and resources rather than coordinated efforts to remove the leadership. Public approval ratings have eased from wartime highs but remain in the low-to-mid 70s according to state-linked polls, while scheduled State Duma elections in September are being managed by the ruling party through standard administrative mechanisms. No verified reports of active coup plotting or elite defections have emerged in recent months, and the regime’s demonstrated capacity to suppress dissent and project power externally supports the current market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRussia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
6% संभावना
$131,331 वॉल्यूम
$131,331 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
6% संभावना
$131,331 वॉल्यूम
$131,331 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s centralized control and the absence of organized challenges from military or security elites continue to underpin trader expectations of stability in Russia through the end of 2026. Recent internal personnel shifts within the FSB and security services reflect factional competition over influence and resources rather than coordinated efforts to remove the leadership. Public approval ratings have eased from wartime highs but remain in the low-to-mid 70s according to state-linked polls, while scheduled State Duma elections in September are being managed by the ruling party through standard administrative mechanisms. No verified reports of active coup plotting or elite defections have emerged in recent months, and the regime’s demonstrated capacity to suppress dissent and project power externally supports the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$131,331समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin’s centralized control and the absence of organized challenges from military or security elites continue to underpin trader expectations of stability in Russia through the end of 2026. Recent internal personnel shifts within the FSB and security services reflect factional competition over influence and resources rather than coordinated efforts to remove the leadership. Public approval ratings have eased from wartime highs but remain in the low-to-mid 70s according to state-linked polls, while scheduled State Duma elections in September are being managed by the ruling party through standard administrative mechanisms. No verified reports of active coup plotting or elite defections have emerged in recent months, and the regime’s demonstrated capacity to suppress dissent and project power externally supports the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$131,331समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Putin’s centralized control and the absence of organized challenges from military or security elites continue to underpin trader expectations of stability in Russia through the end of 2026. Recent internal personnel shifts within the FSB and security services reflect factional competition over influence and resources rather than coordinated efforts to remove the leadership. Public approval ratings have eased from wartime highs but remain in the low-to-mid 70s according to state-linked polls, while scheduled State Duma elections in September are being managed by the ruling party through standard administrative mechanisms. No verified reports of active coup plotting or elite defections have emerged in recent months, and the regime’s demonstrated capacity to suppress dissent and project power externally supports the current market pricing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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