The Senate's requirement for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster remains the primary barrier, with Republicans holding 53 seats and no Democratic support emerging for H.R. 22 or its companion SAVE America Act version. The bill passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 by narrow margins, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid opposition from key Republicans such as Lisa Murkowski and procedural holds. No cloture votes or amendments have gained traction in the first five months of 2026, and no scheduled floor action is pending before year-end. Traders therefore assign a 92% implied probability that the measure will not reach the president's desk for signature this calendar year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$165,816 वॉल्यूम
$165,816 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$165,816 वॉल्यूम
$165,816 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's requirement for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster remains the primary barrier, with Republicans holding 53 seats and no Democratic support emerging for H.R. 22 or its companion SAVE America Act version. The bill passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 by narrow margins, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid opposition from key Republicans such as Lisa Murkowski and procedural holds. No cloture votes or amendments have gained traction in the first five months of 2026, and no scheduled floor action is pending before year-end. Traders therefore assign a 92% implied probability that the measure will not reach the president's desk for signature this calendar year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$165,816समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate's requirement for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster remains the primary barrier, with Republicans holding 53 seats and no Democratic support emerging for H.R. 22 or its companion SAVE America Act version. The bill passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 by narrow margins, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid opposition from key Republicans such as Lisa Murkowski and procedural holds. No cloture votes or amendments have gained traction in the first five months of 2026, and no scheduled floor action is pending before year-end. Traders therefore assign a 92% implied probability that the measure will not reach the president's desk for signature this calendar year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$165,816समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate's requirement for 60 votes to overcome a filibuster remains the primary barrier, with Republicans holding 53 seats and no Democratic support emerging for H.R. 22 or its companion SAVE America Act version. The bill passed the House in April 2025 and again in February 2026 by narrow margins, yet Senate consideration has stalled amid opposition from key Republicans such as Lisa Murkowski and procedural holds. No cloture votes or amendments have gained traction in the first five months of 2026, and no scheduled floor action is pending before year-end. Traders therefore assign a 92% implied probability that the measure will not reach the president's desk for signature this calendar year.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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