Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 84% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflecting trader consensus on his structural advantages as the sitting executive with established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), the primary challenger and former Itabaiana mayor, trails at 11.5%, with minor candidates like Ricardo Marques (PL) and others at negligible levels. Recent polling from September shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating Valmir ahead in stimulated scenarios and others favoring Fábio by margins of 3–20 points, underscoring volatility in voter preferences this close to election day. Campaign activity continues across the state, including rallies and media appearances, as candidates finalize coalitions and address undecided voters in a contest that could head to a potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाफ़ाबिओ 84%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 11%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
डॉ. हेल्टन <1%
$29,574 वॉल्यूम
$29,574 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
फ़ाबिओ
84%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
11%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
<1%
डॉ. हेल्टन
<1%
इमानुएल काचो
<1%
रिकार्डो मार्केस
<1%
फ़ाबिओ 84%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो 11%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस <1%
डॉ. हेल्टन <1%
$29,574 वॉल्यूम
$29,574 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2027
फ़ाबिओ
$19,025 वॉल्यूम
84%
वालमीर डी फ्रांसिस्किन्हो
$6,860 वॉल्यूम
11%
ताती क्रिस्टीना डी जीसस
$1,712 वॉल्यूम
<1%
डॉ. हेल्टन
$900 वॉल्यूम
<1%
इमानुएल काचो
$634 वॉल्यूम
<1%
रिकार्डो मार्केस
$443 वॉल्यूम
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 84% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflecting trader consensus on his structural advantages as the sitting executive with established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), the primary challenger and former Itabaiana mayor, trails at 11.5%, with minor candidates like Ricardo Marques (PL) and others at negligible levels. Recent polling from September shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating Valmir ahead in stimulated scenarios and others favoring Fábio by margins of 3–20 points, underscoring volatility in voter preferences this close to election day. Campaign activity continues across the state, including rallies and media appearances, as candidates finalize coalitions and address undecided voters in a contest that could head to a potential October 25 runoff.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,574समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 84% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflecting trader consensus on his structural advantages as the sitting executive with established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), the primary challenger and former Itabaiana mayor, trails at 11.5%, with minor candidates like Ricardo Marques (PL) and others at negligible levels. Recent polling from September shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating Valmir ahead in stimulated scenarios and others favoring Fábio by margins of 3–20 points, underscoring volatility in voter preferences this close to election day. Campaign activity continues across the state, including rallies and media appearances, as candidates finalize coalitions and address undecided voters in a contest that could head to a potential October 25 runoff.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
वॉल्यूम
$29,574समाप्ति तिथि
1 जुल, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, holds an 84% implied probability in the Sergipe gubernatorial race, reflecting trader consensus on his structural advantages as the sitting executive with established party infrastructure and name recognition ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), the primary challenger and former Itabaiana mayor, trails at 11.5%, with minor candidates like Ricardo Marques (PL) and others at negligible levels. Recent polling from September shows mixed results, with some surveys indicating Valmir ahead in stimulated scenarios and others favoring Fábio by margins of 3–20 points, underscoring volatility in voter preferences this close to election day. Campaign activity continues across the state, including rallies and media appearances, as candidates finalize coalitions and address undecided voters in a contest that could head to a potential October 25 runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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