As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year, trader sentiment reflects persistent stalemate amid escalating violence, with no verified ceasefire achieved despite repeated international appeals. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands, while RSF drone strikes on a fuel facility on May 3 and UN warnings of deepening atrocities underscore barriers to de-escalation. Diplomatic efforts by the US-led Quad (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and UN Security Council resolutions calling for humanitarian truces have stalled, as both sides reject preconditions like RSF withdrawals from civilian areas. Upcoming mediation pushes and potential external sanctions could shift dynamics, but military gains in Darfur and Khartoum sustain the deadlock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
सूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
$92,656 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
30 जून, 2026
10%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
21%
$92,656 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
$33,217 वॉल्यूम
10%
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$291 वॉल्यूम
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year, trader sentiment reflects persistent stalemate amid escalating violence, with no verified ceasefire achieved despite repeated international appeals. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands, while RSF drone strikes on a fuel facility on May 3 and UN warnings of deepening atrocities underscore barriers to de-escalation. Diplomatic efforts by the US-led Quad (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and UN Security Council resolutions calling for humanitarian truces have stalled, as both sides reject preconditions like RSF withdrawals from civilian areas. Upcoming mediation pushes and potential external sanctions could shift dynamics, but military gains in Darfur and Khartoum sustain the deadlock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$92,656समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year, trader sentiment reflects persistent stalemate amid escalating violence, with no verified ceasefire achieved despite repeated international appeals. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands, while RSF drone strikes on a fuel facility on May 3 and UN warnings of deepening atrocities underscore barriers to de-escalation. Diplomatic efforts by the US-led Quad (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and UN Security Council resolutions calling for humanitarian truces have stalled, as both sides reject preconditions like RSF withdrawals from civilian areas. Upcoming mediation pushes and potential external sanctions could shift dynamics, but military gains in Darfur and Khartoum sustain the deadlock.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$92,656समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) enters its fourth year, trader sentiment reflects persistent stalemate amid escalating violence, with no verified ceasefire achieved despite repeated international appeals. Recent fighting in Blue Nile State has displaced thousands, while RSF drone strikes on a fuel facility on May 3 and UN warnings of deepening atrocities underscore barriers to de-escalation. Diplomatic efforts by the US-led Quad (Egypt, Saudi Arabia, UAE) and UN Security Council resolutions calling for humanitarian truces have stalled, as both sides reject preconditions like RSF withdrawals from civilian areas. Upcoming mediation pushes and potential external sanctions could shift dynamics, but military gains in Darfur and Khartoum sustain the deadlock.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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