Recent battlefield shifts and stalled mediation shape prospects for a Sudan ceasefire. Sudanese Armed Forces advances in North Kordofan have broken RSF encirclements around El Obeid, while RSF forces captured key border positions in Blue Nile State and escalated drone strikes. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan launched an intra-Sudanese dialogue initiative in mid-August offering temporary immunity to participants, prompting an African Union Peace and Security Council visit to Khartoum. International proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce continue, yet SAF maintains its precondition of full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. Defections from RSF ranks and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on civilian protection add further variables, against a backdrop of repeated failed truce efforts since 2023.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
सूडान गृह युद्ध संघर्ष विराम... तक?
$119,387 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर, 2026
13%
$119,387 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर, 2026
$14,848 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Recent battlefield shifts and stalled mediation shape prospects for a Sudan ceasefire. Sudanese Armed Forces advances in North Kordofan have broken RSF encirclements around El Obeid, while RSF forces captured key border positions in Blue Nile State and escalated drone strikes. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan launched an intra-Sudanese dialogue initiative in mid-August offering temporary immunity to participants, prompting an African Union Peace and Security Council visit to Khartoum. International proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce continue, yet SAF maintains its precondition of full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. Defections from RSF ranks and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on civilian protection add further variables, against a backdrop of repeated failed truce efforts since 2023.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$119,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Recent battlefield shifts and stalled mediation shape prospects for a Sudan ceasefire. Sudanese Armed Forces advances in North Kordofan have broken RSF encirclements around El Obeid, while RSF forces captured key border positions in Blue Nile State and escalated drone strikes. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan launched an intra-Sudanese dialogue initiative in mid-August offering temporary immunity to participants, prompting an African Union Peace and Security Council visit to Khartoum. International proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce continue, yet SAF maintains its precondition of full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. Defections from RSF ranks and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on civilian protection add further variables, against a backdrop of repeated failed truce efforts since 2023.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$119,387समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent battlefield shifts and stalled mediation shape prospects for a Sudan ceasefire. Sudanese Armed Forces advances in North Kordofan have broken RSF encirclements around El Obeid, while RSF forces captured key border positions in Blue Nile State and escalated drone strikes. SAF leader Abdel Fattah al-Burhan launched an intra-Sudanese dialogue initiative in mid-August offering temporary immunity to participants, prompting an African Union Peace and Security Council visit to Khartoum. International proposals for a 90-day humanitarian truce continue, yet SAF maintains its precondition of full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. Defections from RSF ranks and upcoming UN Security Council discussions on civilian protection add further variables, against a backdrop of repeated failed truce efforts since 2023.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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