Trader consensus on the low likelihood of President Trump leaving office by May 31 stems from the absence of any active constitutional processes, health crises, or political pressures capable of triggering succession in the remaining two weeks. With the current administration focused on ongoing legislative priorities and no scheduled votes or legal proceedings that could force removal, the tight timeline makes abrupt change highly improbable. Historical patterns of presidential transitions further support this stability, as sudden exits outside of elections remain rare. While unforeseen events such as a sudden medical emergency or unprecedented scandal could theoretically alter the outcome, no such developments have emerged to shift the current assessment.