In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाTX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
TX -38 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,662 वॉल्यूम
$14,662 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
82%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
20%
$14,662 वॉल्यूम
$14,662 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$9,922 वॉल्यूम
82%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$4,739 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,662समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,662समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' 38th Congressional District, a safe Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+12, trader consensus heavily favors the GOP at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the party's dominant historical performance—incumbent Wesley Hunt secured 63% in 2022 and 62.7% in 2024 against the same Democratic nominee, Melissa McDonough, who returns with minimal fundraising of just $48,000 raised. The open seat stems from Hunt's U.S. Senate bid, but the March 3 primaries positioned well-funded Republicans Jon Bonck (Trump-endorsed, $1.4 million raised) and Shelly deZevallos for the May 26 runoff, underscoring GOP strength amid ratings from Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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