Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his strong plurality win in the March 3 first-round vote, where he outpaced Shelly deZevallos and nine other candidates to advance to the May 26 runoff in this open Houston-area GOP stronghold left by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and superior fundraising have solidified trader consensus on Bonck's frontrunner status amid low-visibility campaigning. With early voting underway, deZevallos trails at 1.8% despite her second-place finish, while others hold negligible odds outside the top-two matchup. Shifts could arise from scandals, a standout debate, or unexpected turnout favoring the underdog, though barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाजॉन बॉन्क 94.5%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 2.2%
बैरेट मैकनेब 2.0%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.1%
$38,820 वॉल्यूम
$38,820 वॉल्यूम
जॉन बॉन्क
95%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
2%
बैरेट मैकनेब
2%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
1%
माइकल प्रैट
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
1%
लैरी रूबिन
<1%
जेफ यूना
<1%
एवरी आयर्स
<1%
जॉन बॉन्क 94.5%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस 2.2%
बैरेट मैकनेब 2.0%
जेनिफर सुंदरट 1.1%
$38,820 वॉल्यूम
$38,820 वॉल्यूम
जॉन बॉन्क
95%
शेली डीज़ेवल्लोस
2%
बैरेट मैकनेब
2%
जेनिफर सुंदरट
1%
माइकल प्रैट
1%
कारमेन मोंटियल
1%
क्रेग गोराल्स्की
1%
लैरी रूबिन
<1%
जेफ यूना
<1%
एवरी आयर्स
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jon Bonck's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the TX-38 Republican primary reflects his strong plurality win in the March 3 first-round vote, where he outpaced Shelly deZevallos and nine other candidates to advance to the May 26 runoff in this open Houston-area GOP stronghold left by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Trump endorsement, Club for Growth backing, and superior fundraising have solidified trader consensus on Bonck's frontrunner status amid low-visibility campaigning. With early voting underway, deZevallos trails at 1.8% despite her second-place finish, while others hold negligible odds outside the top-two matchup. Shifts could arise from scandals, a standout debate, or unexpected turnout favoring the underdog, though barriers remain high.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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