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icon for Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

icon for Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

दिस 31

दिस 31

15% संभावना
Polymarket

$76,654 वॉल्यूम

15% संभावना
Polymarket

$76,654 वॉल्यूम

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$76,654
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection over the December 2024 martial law declaration, with prosecutors previously seeking the death penalty in the Seoul Central District Court case. He has appealed the verdict to a specialized Seoul High Court panel handling rebellion matters, a process expected to extend well beyond the immediate term given the case's complexity and multiple concurrent trials. Additional April 2026 appeals court rulings added further prison time on related obstruction charges, also under review by higher courts. These confirmed convictions and the standard multi-stage appeals timeline in South Korea have shaped trader consensus around an 88% implied probability that Yoon will not be released before 2027, reflecting the low likelihood of swift reversal or bail in high-profile political cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".

If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".

Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$76,654
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Yoon out of custody before 2027?" Polymarket पर एक पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार है जहाँ ट्रेडर इस बात के आधार पर "हाँ" या "नहीं" शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं कि क्या उन्हें लगता है यह घटना होगी। वर्तमान भीड़-संचालित संभावना "Yes" के लिए 15% है। उदाहरण के लिए, अगर "हाँ" की कीमत 15¢ है, तो बाज़ार सामूहिक रूप से इस घटना के होने की 15% संभावना मानता है। ये संभावनाएँ लगातार बदलती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर नए विकास और जानकारी पर प्रतिक्रिया करते हैं। सही परिणाम में शेयर बाज़ार समाधान पर प्रत्येक $1 में भुनाए जा सकते हैं।

आज तक, "Yoon out of custody before 2027?" ने कुल $76.7K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Nov 5, 2025 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Yoon out of custody before 2027?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, बस चुनें कि आपको लगता है उत्तर "हाँ" है या "नहीं"। प्रत्येक पक्ष की एक वर्तमान कीमत है जो बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाती है। अपनी राशि दर्ज करें और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें। अगर आप "हाँ" शेयर खरीदते हैं और परिणाम "हाँ" हल होता है, तो प्रत्येक शेयर $1 का भुगतान करता है। अगर "नहीं" हल होता है, तो आपके "हाँ" शेयर $0 का भुगतान करते हैं। लाभ सुरक्षित करने या नुकसान कम करने के लिए आप समाधान से पहले किसी भी समय अपने शेयर बेच सकते हैं।

"Yoon out of custody before 2027?" की वर्तमान संभावना "Yes" के लिए 15% है। इसका मतलब है कि Polymarket भीड़ वर्तमान में मानती है कि इस घटना के होने की 15% संभावना है। ये संभावनाएँ वास्तविक ट्रेड के आधार पर रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"Yoon out of custody before 2027?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।