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icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 49.0%

Larry Page 39%

Bernard Arnault 21.6%

Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%

Polymarket

$45,364 Vol.

Sergey Brin 49.0%

Larry Page 39%

Bernard Arnault 21.6%

Mark Zuckerberg 11.0%

Polymarket

$45,364 Vol.

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$7,404 Vol.

49%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$21,018 Vol.

39%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$905 Vol.

22%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$592 Vol.

17%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$1,058 Vol.

4%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,725 Vol.

4%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$913 Vol.

9%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$1,193 Vol.

23%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,660 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$896 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$45,364
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Alphabet's recent AI-fueled stock rally, including cloud revenue surges and a 100%+ yearly gain that pushed Larry Page past the $300 billion mark, has driven trader consensus toward the Google co-founders for second-richest status by year-end. Page and Brin hold closely matched leads at 37.5% and 34.6% implied probability due to their near-identical Alphabet stakes and the company's full-stack AI positioning, while Larry Ellison's 25.6% reflects Oracle's AI infrastructure momentum. Differentiators include Alphabet's broader search and distribution advantages versus Ellison's narrower cloud focus or Nvidia's chip dominance, with year-end earnings and market swings as key swing factors in this tight race.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$45,364
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sergey Brin" di 49%, diikuti oleh "Larry Page" di 39%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 49¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2nd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $45.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2nd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Sergey Brin" di 49%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 49% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Larry Page" di 39%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.