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icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

icon for 2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

Larry Page 33%

Elon Musk 17%

Mark Zuckerberg 11%

Larry Ellison 9.0%

Polymarket

$41,435 Vol.

Larry Page 33%

Elon Musk 17%

Mark Zuckerberg 11%

Larry Ellison 9.0%

Polymarket

$41,435 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$20,680 Vol.

43%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$609 Vol.

14%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$317 Vol.

11%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$582 Vol.

8%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,266 Vol.

5%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$6,795 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$561 Vol.

2%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,437 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page at 43% implied probability to end 2026 as the world's second-richest person, reflecting Alphabet's explosive stock rally that recently propelled him past Jeff Bezos into the current #2 spot on Forbes real-time billionaires list with $327 billion net worth. Bezos trails at 33.4% after Amazon shares surged on AI partnerships, boosting his fortune to $277 billion, while Sergey Brin (24.5%) and Mark Zuckerberg (24%) lurk close, buoyed by Google and Meta's AI momentum amid tech sector volatility. Competitive dynamics hinge on Q2 earnings reports, ongoing AI investments, and broader market trends through December 31, where any Tesla slide for #1 Elon Musk or Oracle stumbles could reshape the top ranks.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$41,435
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page at 43% implied probability to end 2026 as the world's second-richest person, reflecting Alphabet's explosive stock rally that recently propelled him past Jeff Bezos into the current #2 spot on Forbes real-time billionaires list with $327 billion net worth. Bezos trails at 33.4% after Amazon shares surged on AI partnerships, boosting his fortune to $277 billion, while Sergey Brin (24.5%) and Mark Zuckerberg (24%) lurk close, buoyed by Google and Meta's AI momentum amid tech sector volatility. Competitive dynamics hinge on Q2 earnings reports, ongoing AI investments, and broader market trends through December 31, where any Tesla slide for #1 Elon Musk or Oracle stumbles could reshape the top ranks.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$41,435
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 10 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Larry Page" di 43%, diikuti oleh "Jeff Bezos" di 32%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 43¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2nd richest person on December 31?" telah menghasilkan $41.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 30, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2nd richest person on December 31?," jelajahi 10 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" adalah "Larry Page" di 43%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 43% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Jeff Bezos" di 32%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2nd richest person on December 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.