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icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Politik·UK

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

icon for Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
Politik·UK

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

20% peluang
Polymarket

$20,701 Vol.

20% peluang
Polymarket

$20,701 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Andy Burnham remaining Mayor of Greater Manchester through May 31, reflecting no official resignation announcement despite heightened speculation after Labour's disappointing local election results last week. The Greater Manchester mayor, whose term extends to 2028, has withdrawn from public events amid reports of lining up parliamentary seats for a potential Labour leadership bid against Keir Starmer, but party officials have previously blocked similar moves, such as in January's Gorton and Denton by-election. Allies urge patience as Burnham signals ongoing options for a Westminster return without committing to vacate the mayoralty imminently, with thin trading volume underscoring low conviction in a near-term exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,701
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Andy Burnham remaining Mayor of Greater Manchester through May 31, reflecting no official resignation announcement despite heightened speculation after Labour's disappointing local election results last week. The Greater Manchester mayor, whose term extends to 2028, has withdrawn from public events amid reports of lining up parliamentary seats for a potential Labour leadership bid against Keir Starmer, but party officials have previously blocked similar moves, such as in January's Gorton and Denton by-election. Allies urge patience as Burnham signals ongoing options for a Westminster return without committing to vacate the mayoralty imminently, with thin trading volume underscoring low conviction in a near-term exit.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$20,701
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 1, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 20% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 20¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 20% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" telah menghasilkan $20.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 1, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" adalah 20% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 20% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.