Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiTidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 98.7%
600B+ <1%
300–400M <1%
400–600M <1%
$1,299,068 Vol.
$1,299,068 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
<1%
100–200M
<1%
200–300M
<1%
300–400M
<1%
400–600M
<1%
600B+
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
99%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026 98.7%
600B+ <1%
300–400M <1%
400–600M <1%
$1,299,068 Vol.
$1,299,068 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<100M
$263,330 Vol.
<1%
100–200M
$91,813 Vol.
<1%
200–300M
$147,455 Vol.
<1%
300–400M
$98,874 Vol.
<1%
400–600M
$161,149 Vol.
<1%
600B+
$285,606 Vol.
1%
Tidak IPO sebelum 30 Juni 2026
$250,841 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$1,299,068Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,299,068Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s overwhelming market-implied odds of no IPO by June 30, 2026 stem from the absence of any SEC filing, banker roadshow, or official timeline that could realistically compress the standard public-listing process into the next six weeks. The artificial-intelligence lab behind the Claude large language model remains focused on a fresh $30–50 billion private round at valuations up to $900 billion, following its $380 billion Series G close in February. Executives have discussed a potential debut only as early as Q4 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-nine-month runway from S-1 preparation through regulatory review and lock-up planning. A last-minute surprise filing would still face SEC comment periods and market conditions that rarely allow closure inside a single month, reinforcing trader consensus that the June deadline will pass with Anthropic still private.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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