Recent monthly inflation readings around 1.9-2.1% and Central Bank surveys showing median 2026 year-end expectations at 29.8% have anchored trader sentiment near the 30% threshold for Argentina's annual rate. Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy continue to support disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet persistent inertia in core prices and relative adjustments keep the year-over-year measure near 33.8% as of July. With forecasts clustered between 29% and 31% from sources including the IMF and OECD, the near-even split between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether momentum will push the full-year figure below or above 30%. Key catalysts include upcoming August CPI data and the next REM survey.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui30.0-34.9% 51.8%
25-29.9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.8%
25-29.9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation readings around 1.9-2.1% and Central Bank surveys showing median 2026 year-end expectations at 29.8% have anchored trader sentiment near the 30% threshold for Argentina's annual rate. Milei's fiscal austerity and tighter monetary policy continue to support disinflation from prior peaks above 200%, yet persistent inertia in core prices and relative adjustments keep the year-over-year measure near 33.8% as of July. With forecasts clustered between 29% and 31% from sources including the IMF and OECD, the near-even split between the 25-29.9% and 30-34.9% outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether momentum will push the full-year figure below or above 30%. Key catalysts include upcoming August CPI data and the next REM survey.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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