Argentina’s ongoing disinflation, driven by President Milei’s fiscal austerity, monetary restraint, and a managed crawling-peg exchange rate, anchors trader expectations for 2026 annual inflation. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5–33.8 percent by July 2026 amid monthly rates near 1.9–2.1 percent, while central-bank and analyst surveys trimmed median year-end forecasts to 29–30 percent. This keeps the 30.0–34.9 percent band narrowly ahead at 51.7 percent implied probability versus 44.0 percent for 25–29.9 percent. Key swing factors include the persistence of relative-price adjustments, reserve accumulation, and any acceleration in monthly prints that could push the full-year outcome above or below the 30 percent threshold before December data finalize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui30.0-34.9% 51.6%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
44%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.6%
25-29.9% 44%
45%+ 1.9%
<20% 1.7%
$41,125 Vol.
$41,125 Vol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,331 Vol.
44%
30.0-34.9%
$10,612 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,511 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s ongoing disinflation, driven by President Milei’s fiscal austerity, monetary restraint, and a managed crawling-peg exchange rate, anchors trader expectations for 2026 annual inflation. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5–33.8 percent by July 2026 amid monthly rates near 1.9–2.1 percent, while central-bank and analyst surveys trimmed median year-end forecasts to 29–30 percent. This keeps the 30.0–34.9 percent band narrowly ahead at 51.7 percent implied probability versus 44.0 percent for 25–29.9 percent. Key swing factors include the persistence of relative-price adjustments, reserve accumulation, and any acceleration in monthly prints that could push the full-year outcome above or below the 30 percent threshold before December data finalize.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$41,125Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s ongoing disinflation, driven by President Milei’s fiscal austerity, monetary restraint, and a managed crawling-peg exchange rate, anchors trader expectations for 2026 annual inflation. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5–33.8 percent by July 2026 amid monthly rates near 1.9–2.1 percent, while central-bank and analyst surveys trimmed median year-end forecasts to 29–30 percent. This keeps the 30.0–34.9 percent band narrowly ahead at 51.7 percent implied probability versus 44.0 percent for 25–29.9 percent. Key swing factors include the persistence of relative-price adjustments, reserve accumulation, and any acceleration in monthly prints that could push the full-year outcome above or below the 30 percent threshold before December data finalize.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$41,125Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 10, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s ongoing disinflation, driven by President Milei’s fiscal austerity, monetary restraint, and a managed crawling-peg exchange rate, anchors trader expectations for 2026 annual inflation. Year-over-year CPI eased to 33.5–33.8 percent by July 2026 amid monthly rates near 1.9–2.1 percent, while central-bank and analyst surveys trimmed median year-end forecasts to 29–30 percent. This keeps the 30.0–34.9 percent band narrowly ahead at 51.7 percent implied probability versus 44.0 percent for 25–29.9 percent. Key swing factors include the persistence of relative-price adjustments, reserve accumulation, and any acceleration in monthly prints that could push the full-year outcome above or below the 30 percent threshold before December data finalize.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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