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Politics·Primaries

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jay Feely 84%

Joseph Chaplik 16.4%

John Trobough <1%

Matt Gress <1%

Polymarket

$431,852 Vol.

Jay Feely 84%

Joseph Chaplik 16.4%

John Trobough <1%

Matt Gress <1%

Polymarket

$431,852 Vol.

Jay Feely

$10,580 Vol.

84%

Joseph Chaplik

$11,792 Vol.

16%

John Trobough

$4,115 Vol.

1%

Matt Gress

$49,162 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$8,250 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$224,037 Vol.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$5,354 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,815 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$12,048 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Gallego

$4,176 Vol.

<1%

Jason Duey

$3,656 Vol.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$11,168 Vol.

<1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$5,758 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with strong trader support, reflecting his Trump endorsement, highest fundraising totals among declared candidates, and name recognition as a former NFL player and broadcaster. John Trobough trails as the next most viable option, drawing on his business background and prior White House service while emphasizing policy-focused messaging in recent debates. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative, and lower-polling entrants such as Gina Swoboda and Paul Reevs face narrower paths amid a crowded field for the open seat previously held by David Schweikert. Recent May 2026 candidate forums and campaign finance reports have reinforced Feely’s positioning, though limited public polling leaves room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$431,852
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with strong trader support, reflecting his Trump endorsement, highest fundraising totals among declared candidates, and name recognition as a former NFL player and broadcaster. John Trobough trails as the next most viable option, drawing on his business background and prior White House service while emphasizing policy-focused messaging in recent debates. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative, and lower-polling entrants such as Gina Swoboda and Paul Reevs face narrower paths amid a crowded field for the open seat previously held by David Schweikert. Recent May 2026 candidate forums and campaign finance reports have reinforced Feely’s positioning, though limited public polling leaves room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$431,852
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 21, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jay Feely" di 84%, diikuti oleh "Joseph Chaplik" di 16%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 84¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $431.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Jay Feely" di 84%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 84% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Joseph Chaplik" di 16%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.