Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply disruptions have anchored the Bank of England’s current 3.75% policy rate, producing an 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, driven by higher fuel and utility costs, has offset softer wage growth near a five-year low, while downgraded GDP forecasts keep the Monetary Policy Committee in a data-dependent stance. Trader consensus therefore prices only a 14.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey’s warnings on persistent upside risks without committing to immediate tightening. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI and labor market data, will shape whether the implied rate path tilts further toward stability or a modest adjustment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$147,273 Vol.
$147,273 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
85%
25 bps increase
15%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 85%
25 bps increase 15%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$147,273 Vol.
$147,273 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$24,993 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$25,323 Vol.
<1%
No change
$30,928 Vol.
85%
25 bps increase
$41,099 Vol.
15%
50+ bps increase
$24,931 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply disruptions have anchored the Bank of England’s current 3.75% policy rate, producing an 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, driven by higher fuel and utility costs, has offset softer wage growth near a five-year low, while downgraded GDP forecasts keep the Monetary Policy Committee in a data-dependent stance. Trader consensus therefore prices only a 14.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey’s warnings on persistent upside risks without committing to immediate tightening. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI and labor market data, will shape whether the implied rate path tilts further toward stability or a modest adjustment.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$147,273Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply disruptions have anchored the Bank of England’s current 3.75% policy rate, producing an 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, driven by higher fuel and utility costs, has offset softer wage growth near a five-year low, while downgraded GDP forecasts keep the Monetary Policy Committee in a data-dependent stance. Trader consensus therefore prices only a 14.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey’s warnings on persistent upside risks without committing to immediate tightening. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI and labor market data, will shape whether the implied rate path tilts further toward stability or a modest adjustment.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$147,273Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy supply disruptions have anchored the Bank of England’s current 3.75% policy rate, producing an 84.5% market-implied probability of no change at the June 18 meeting. April 2026 CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, driven by higher fuel and utility costs, has offset softer wage growth near a five-year low, while downgraded GDP forecasts keep the Monetary Policy Committee in a data-dependent stance. Trader consensus therefore prices only a 14.5% chance of a 25 basis point hike, reflecting Governor Bailey’s warnings on persistent upside risks without committing to immediate tightening. Key upcoming releases, including May CPI and labor market data, will shape whether the implied rate path tilts further toward stability or a modest adjustment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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