Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP reading, released in August, printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bucket. The outcome reflected solid gains in goods-producing industries, particularly mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction lifted by elevated energy prices, alongside expansions in finance, insurance, real estate, and retail trade that offset contractions in utilities and agriculture. This modest rebound followed a 0.3% May print and occurred against a backdrop of softer first-half growth, with Bank of Canada and private forecasts projecting annual GDP expansion near 1.1-1.5% amid trade uncertainties and subdued domestic demand. Traders appear to have priced in continuity from these sector-specific positives and leading indicators such as retail sales and hours worked, while assigning lower odds to stronger or negative surprises given the subdued macroeconomic trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui0.2-0.3% 63%
0.0-0.1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 8.9%
0.8%+ 4.3%
$18,129 Vol.
$18,129 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
4%
0.0-0.1%
14%
0.2-0.3%
63%
0.4-0.5%
9%
0.6-0.7%
1%
0.8%+
4%
0.2-0.3% 63%
0.0-0.1% 14%
0.4-0.5% 8.9%
0.8%+ 4.3%
$18,129 Vol.
$18,129 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<0.0%
$1,107 Vol.
4%
0.0-0.1%
$4,750 Vol.
14%
0.2-0.3%
$8,979 Vol.
63%
0.4-0.5%
$1,590 Vol.
9%
0.6-0.7%
$913 Vol.
1%
0.8%+
$790 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP reading, released in August, printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bucket. The outcome reflected solid gains in goods-producing industries, particularly mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction lifted by elevated energy prices, alongside expansions in finance, insurance, real estate, and retail trade that offset contractions in utilities and agriculture. This modest rebound followed a 0.3% May print and occurred against a backdrop of softer first-half growth, with Bank of Canada and private forecasts projecting annual GDP expansion near 1.1-1.5% amid trade uncertainties and subdued domestic demand. Traders appear to have priced in continuity from these sector-specific positives and leading indicators such as retail sales and hours worked, while assigning lower odds to stronger or negative surprises given the subdued macroeconomic trajectory.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$18,129Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP reading, released in August, printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bucket. The outcome reflected solid gains in goods-producing industries, particularly mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction lifted by elevated energy prices, alongside expansions in finance, insurance, real estate, and retail trade that offset contractions in utilities and agriculture. This modest rebound followed a 0.3% May print and occurred against a backdrop of softer first-half growth, with Bank of Canada and private forecasts projecting annual GDP expansion near 1.1-1.5% amid trade uncertainties and subdued domestic demand. Traders appear to have priced in continuity from these sector-specific positives and leading indicators such as retail sales and hours worked, while assigning lower odds to stronger or negative surprises given the subdued macroeconomic trajectory.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$18,129Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Canada’s June 2026 monthly GDP reading, released in August, printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with the 60.5% market-implied probability for the 0.2-0.3% bucket. The outcome reflected solid gains in goods-producing industries, particularly mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction lifted by elevated energy prices, alongside expansions in finance, insurance, real estate, and retail trade that offset contractions in utilities and agriculture. This modest rebound followed a 0.3% May print and occurred against a backdrop of softer first-half growth, with Bank of Canada and private forecasts projecting annual GDP expansion near 1.1-1.5% amid trade uncertainties and subdued domestic demand. Traders appear to have priced in continuity from these sector-specific positives and leading indicators such as retail sales and hours worked, while assigning lower odds to stronger or negative surprises given the subdued macroeconomic trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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