The 2026 Quebec general election in the open Charlesbourg riding features a tight three-way contest among Parti Québécois candidate Gabriel Coulombe, Conservative Party nominee Éloïse Coulombe, and Coalition Avenir Québec standard-bearer Marie-Josée Morency, with Liberal Seynabou Top and Québec solidaire’s Georges Goma trailing. Recent provincial polling shows the PQ holding a narrow lead overall while the CAQ has gained ground and the PCQ remains competitive in the Capitale-Nationale region, producing closely matched local projections of roughly 25–28 percent support for the top three parties as of late August. The absence of the longtime CAQ incumbent has opened the seat to these challengers, and early campaign dynamics—centered on economic issues, provincial autonomy, and voter volatility with many undecided—have kept the outcome fluid ahead of the October 5 vote. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single candidate establishing a decisive edge in available data.