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Pemilihan Umum·Kanada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Pemilihan Umum·Kanada

Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Sylvie Tanguay 46%

Geneviève Hébert 46%

Jacqueline Belleau 43%

Mia Fréchette 29%

Polymarket
BARU

Sylvie Tanguay 46%

Geneviève Hébert 46%

Jacqueline Belleau 43%

Mia Fréchette 29%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Sylvie Tanguay

Sylvie Tanguay

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Geneviève Hébert

Geneviève Hébert

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Jacqueline Belleau

Jacqueline Belleau

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Mia Fréchette

Mia Fréchette

$0 Vol.

29%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Saint-François riding features a competitive multi-party contest for the October 5, 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, with incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec facing challengers including Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois, Jacqueline Belleau of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Mia Fréchette of Québec solidaire. Late-August projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ holding a narrow lead in popular vote estimates around 27-30 percent, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ, reflecting broader provincial polling volatility after the writs dropped on August 27. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because the riding's 2022 CAQ dominance has eroded amid shifting party fortunes, an open nomination window until September 17, and limited riding-specific data. Late campaign developments such as regional polls, leader visits, turnout patterns in key demographics, or last-minute candidate announcements could widen separations among the frontrunners before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Saint-François riding features a competitive multi-party contest for the October 5, 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, with incumbent Geneviève Hébert of the Coalition Avenir Québec facing challengers including Sylvie Tanguay of the Parti Québécois, Jacqueline Belleau of the Quebec Liberal Party, and Mia Fréchette of Québec solidaire. Late-August projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show the PQ holding a narrow lead in popular vote estimates around 27-30 percent, followed closely by the Liberals and CAQ, reflecting broader provincial polling volatility after the writs dropped on August 27. Trader consensus remains tightly clustered because the riding's 2022 CAQ dominance has eroded amid shifting party fortunes, an open nomination window until September 17, and limited riding-specific data. Late campaign developments such as regional polls, leader visits, turnout patterns in key demographics, or last-minute candidate announcements could widen separations among the frontrunners before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Sylvie Tanguay" di 46%, diikuti oleh "Geneviève Hébert" di 46%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 46¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah "Sylvie Tanguay" di 46%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 46% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Geneviève Hébert" di 46%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Saint-François Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.