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icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Stéphanie Martin 43%

Patrick Paquet 43%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
BARU

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin 44%

Stéphanie Martin 43%

Patrick Paquet 43%

Charles Hudon 25%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

Françoise Faverjon-Fortin

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Stéphanie Martin

Stéphanie Martin

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Patrick Paquet

Patrick Paquet

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Charles Hudon

Charles Hudon

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent candidate announcements have intensified competition in the open Vanier-Les Rivières seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Françoise Faverjon-Fortin (CAQ), Stéphanie Martin (PQ), and Patrick Paquet (PCQ) each bring established local profiles—business and governance experience, municipal political background, and journalism credentials—while Charles Hudon (PLQ) trails with lower market odds. Late-August polling aggregates from sources such as Québec 125 and 338Canada show the top three parties clustered within a few points around 25-28 percent support, reflecting the riding’s history of swings and the absence of an incumbent. This balance sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Further separation could emerge from targeted campaigning on regional priorities like homelessness and capital infrastructure, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Recent candidate announcements have intensified competition in the open Vanier-Les Rivières seat ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Françoise Faverjon-Fortin (CAQ), Stéphanie Martin (PQ), and Patrick Paquet (PCQ) each bring established local profiles—business and governance experience, municipal political background, and journalism credentials—while Charles Hudon (PLQ) trails with lower market odds. Late-August polling aggregates from sources such as Québec 125 and 338Canada show the top three parties clustered within a few points around 25-28 percent support, reflecting the riding’s history of swings and the absence of an incumbent. This balance sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Further separation could emerge from targeted campaigning on regional priorities like homelessness and capital infrastructure, candidate debates, or shifts in provincial momentum before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:52 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" di 44%, diikuti oleh "Stéphanie Martin" di 44%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah "Françoise Faverjon-Fortin" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Stéphanie Martin" di 44%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.