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Politik·Pemilu AS

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politik·Pemilu AS

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Patrick Roath 53%

Stephen Lynch 44%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

Patrick Roath 53%

Stephen Lynch 44%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

icon for Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

$4,342 Vol.

53%

icon for Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

$7,142 Vol.

44%

icon for Andrew Zylberfink

Andrew Zylberfink

$1,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1 features longtime incumbent Stephen Lynch seeking a 12th term against challenger Patrick Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide emphasizing generational turnover, affordable housing, and family affordability. Recent Boston Globe reporting highlights a tightening contest driven by anti-incumbent sentiment and Roath's union endorsements, with limited public polling beyond an earlier Roath-commissioned survey showing informed voters shifting toward the challenger. Trader consensus prices the race near even because Lynch retains name recognition and institutional advantages in a safely Democratic district, while Roath's momentum has not yet produced decisive separation in fundraising or broad voter surveys. Upcoming candidate forums, final cash reports, and turnout efforts in the final weeks could widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,906
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1 features longtime incumbent Stephen Lynch seeking a 12th term against challenger Patrick Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide emphasizing generational turnover, affordable housing, and family affordability. Recent Boston Globe reporting highlights a tightening contest driven by anti-incumbent sentiment and Roath's union endorsements, with limited public polling beyond an earlier Roath-commissioned survey showing informed voters shifting toward the challenger. Trader consensus prices the race near even because Lynch retains name recognition and institutional advantages in a safely Democratic district, while Roath's momentum has not yet produced decisive separation in fundraising or broad voter surveys. Upcoming candidate forums, final cash reports, and turnout efforts in the final weeks could widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,906
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Patrick Roath" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Stephen Lynch" di 45%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $12.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Mar 3, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" adalah "Patrick Roath" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Stephen Lynch" di 45%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.