Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the strongest position in the Colima gubernatorial race due to her designation in August 2026 as coordinator of the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition's "Defensa de la Transformación" effort, positioning her as the presumptive nominee for the June 6, 2027 election. As a former federal deputy, state secretary, DIF director, and municipal president of Manzanillo who stepped aside in June to pursue the role, she benefits from close alignment with term-limited incumbent Indira Vizcaíno Silva and the coalition's recent dominance in the state. Opposition figures such as Griselda Martínez Martínez, Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, and Gabriela Benavides Cobos remain fragmented with limited consolidated support, reflecting the wide gap in trader-implied probabilities more than nine months before voting. Internal party processes and early positioning continue to favor the ruling coalition's candidate amid standard pre-electoral dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiRosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 4.2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 3.8%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
4%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

María Cristina Lupien
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 81%
Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 8.2%
Griselda Martínez Martínez 4.2%
Gabriela Benavides Cobos 3.8%
$37,347 Vol.
$37,347 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera
81%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez
8%

Griselda Martínez Martínez
4%

Gabriela Benavides Cobos
4%

Margarita Moreno González
3%

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora
2%

María Cristina Lupien
2%

Mario Delgado Carrillo
1%

Joel Padilla Peña
1%

Mely Romero Celis
1%

José Israel González
1%

Enrique Rojas Orozco
1%

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez
1%

Viridiana Valencia Vargas
1%

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua
1%

Sofía Peralta Ferro
1%

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves
1%

César Yáñez Centeno
<1%

Hilda Lizette Moreno
<1%

José Manuel Romero Coello
<1%

Esther Gutiérrez
<1%

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the strongest position in the Colima gubernatorial race due to her designation in August 2026 as coordinator of the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition's "Defensa de la Transformación" effort, positioning her as the presumptive nominee for the June 6, 2027 election. As a former federal deputy, state secretary, DIF director, and municipal president of Manzanillo who stepped aside in June to pursue the role, she benefits from close alignment with term-limited incumbent Indira Vizcaíno Silva and the coalition's recent dominance in the state. Opposition figures such as Griselda Martínez Martínez, Riult Rivera Gutiérrez, and Gabriela Benavides Cobos remain fragmented with limited consolidated support, reflecting the wide gap in trader-implied probabilities more than nine months before voting. Internal party processes and early positioning continue to favor the ruling coalition's candidate amid standard pre-electoral dynamics.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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