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Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

icon for Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Politik·Pemilihan Umum Global

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,807 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella 73%

Paloma Valencia 18%

Iván Cepeda Castro 11.1%

Claudia López <1%

Polymarket

$90,807 Vol.

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$9,626 Vol.

73%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$13,360 Vol.

18%

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$9,709 Vol.

11%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$5,047 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$4,737 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$4,284 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$4,137 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$3,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$4,948 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$3,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$3,594 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$4,516 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$3,615 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$4,171 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$4,116 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$4,250 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$3,532 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,807
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead for first place while positioning far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella as the clear frontrunner for second in the May 31 first round. De la Espriella’s outsider appeal, modeled on hardline security policies akin to those in El Salvador and Argentina, has consolidated right-wing support outside traditional party structures. Center-right senator Paloma Valencia strengthened her coalition standing after winning open primaries in March alongside legislative voting, yet trails in head-to-head measures for the runoff spot. Campaign violence, including the recent killings of two staffers for de la Espriella, underscores security concerns that continue to shape voter priorities without shifting the established ordering. These dynamics reflect trader consensus on the most likely top-two finishers ahead of the runoff threshold on June 21.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$90,807
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 17 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella" di 73%, diikuti oleh "Paloma Valencia" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 73¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" telah menghasilkan $90.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place," jelajahi 17 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella" di 73%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 73% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Paloma Valencia" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.