Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude intermeeting action. The April 2026 unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, aligning with labor market stability, while first-quarter GDP expanded at a 2% annualized pace. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting last month, with futures markets—per CME FedWatch—showing 98% odds of no change at the June gathering and 67% probability of zero cuts throughout 2026. Absent acute shocks like financial turmoil or severe recession signals, trader sentiment views scheduled policy as sufficient amid controlled inflation and steady growth. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$104,016 Vol.
$104,016 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$104,016 Vol.
$104,016 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude intermeeting action. The April 2026 unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, aligning with labor market stability, while first-quarter GDP expanded at a 2% annualized pace. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting last month, with futures markets—per CME FedWatch—showing 98% odds of no change at the June gathering and 67% probability of zero cuts throughout 2026. Absent acute shocks like financial turmoil or severe recession signals, trader sentiment views scheduled policy as sufficient amid controlled inflation and steady growth. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$104,016Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude intermeeting action. The April 2026 unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, aligning with labor market stability, while first-quarter GDP expanded at a 2% annualized pace. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting last month, with futures markets—per CME FedWatch—showing 98% odds of no change at the June gathering and 67% probability of zero cuts throughout 2026. Absent acute shocks like financial turmoil or severe recession signals, trader sentiment views scheduled policy as sufficient amid controlled inflation and steady growth. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$104,016Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 87.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting resilient U.S. economic conditions that preclude intermeeting action. The April 2026 unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, aligning with labor market stability, while first-quarter GDP expanded at a 2% annualized pace. The FOMC maintained the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% for a third consecutive meeting last month, with futures markets—per CME FedWatch—showing 98% odds of no change at the June gathering and 67% probability of zero cuts throughout 2026. Absent acute shocks like financial turmoil or severe recession signals, trader sentiment views scheduled policy as sufficient amid controlled inflation and steady growth. Key catalysts ahead include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 17-18 FOMC.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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