Florida's 2nd congressional district is an open seat following Republican incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement after his 2024 reelection. The district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Austin Rogers and Keith Gross, have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face limited resources and lower visibility. Recent polling in the crowded GOP primary shows a fragmented but competitive field that is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 88% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural lean and historical voting patterns in this North Florida panhandle seat.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiFL-02 House Election Winner
FL-02 House Election Winner
$12,030 Vol.
$12,030 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
13%
$12,030 Vol.
$12,030 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,937 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,093 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district is an open seat following Republican incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement after his 2024 reelection. The district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Austin Rogers and Keith Gross, have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face limited resources and lower visibility. Recent polling in the crowded GOP primary shows a fragmented but competitive field that is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 88% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural lean and historical voting patterns in this North Florida panhandle seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$12,030Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district is an open seat following Republican incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement after his 2024 reelection. The district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Austin Rogers and Keith Gross, have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face limited resources and lower visibility. Recent polling in the crowded GOP primary shows a fragmented but competitive field that is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 88% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural lean and historical voting patterns in this North Florida panhandle seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,030Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd congressional district is an open seat following Republican incumbent Neal Dunn's January 2026 retirement announcement after his 2024 reelection. The district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Safe or Solid Republican by forecasters. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Austin Rogers and Keith Gross, have raised substantial funds ahead of the August 18 primary, while Democratic candidates face limited resources and lower visibility. Recent polling in the crowded GOP primary shows a fragmented but competitive field that is unlikely to alter the general-election outlook. Trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee an 88% implied probability, consistent with the district's structural lean and historical voting patterns in this North Florida panhandle seat.
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