Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary thanks to President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge, leaving Jay Collins and Paul Renner positioned as the main contenders for second place. James Fishback, a 31-year-old investor running an outsider campaign with notable online visibility among certain activist networks, has consolidated trader expectations for third place. Recent ballot challenges against Fishback failed, and his polling remains low overall but exceeds most of the remaining field. A surge by Renner or another lesser-known candidate, unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs, or last-minute shifts in endorsements could alter the ordering for third, though the frontrunner’s dominance limits realistic pathways for major disruption before primary day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJames Fishback 97.8%
Byron Donalds 4.8%
Daniel Nokovich 4.8%
James Walker Shaw 4.8%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback
98%

Byron Donalds
5%

Daniel Nokovich
5%

James Walker Shaw
5%

Jay Collins
3%

Jim Holcomb
1%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%

Rachel Rodriguez
1%

Caneste Succe
1%

Bobby Williams
1%

Paul Renner
-
James Fishback 97.8%
Byron Donalds 4.8%
Daniel Nokovich 4.8%
James Walker Shaw 4.8%
$1,741 Vol.
$1,741 Vol.

James Fishback
98%

Byron Donalds
5%

Daniel Nokovich
5%

James Walker Shaw
5%

Jay Collins
3%

Jim Holcomb
1%

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey
1%

Rachel Rodriguez
1%

Caneste Succe
1%

Bobby Williams
1%

Paul Renner
-
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Byron Donalds holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, Florida Republican gubernatorial primary thanks to President Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge, leaving Jay Collins and Paul Renner positioned as the main contenders for second place. James Fishback, a 31-year-old investor running an outsider campaign with notable online visibility among certain activist networks, has consolidated trader expectations for third place. Recent ballot challenges against Fishback failed, and his polling remains low overall but exceeds most of the remaining field. A surge by Renner or another lesser-known candidate, unusually high turnout among specific voting blocs, or last-minute shifts in endorsements could alter the ordering for third, though the frontrunner’s dominance limits realistic pathways for major disruption before primary day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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