OpenAI’s latest frontier models, including GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra variants, have posted Humanity’s Last Exam scores in the mid-to-high 50s as of mid-September 2026, trailing Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 systems at 59–65% on major leaderboards. Rapid progress on this expert-level, low-contamination benchmark—designed to test frontier reasoning across math, science, and humanities—has been driven by improved chain-of-thought, scaling, and agentic scaffolding, though OpenAI remains behind in the latest public snapshots. With three months left in 2026, trader consensus reflects expectations of further OpenAI releases or optimizations pushing past 55%, while 60%+ remains contested due to the benchmark’s difficulty and competitive dynamics with Anthropic and others.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$107,717 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
78%
60%+
33%
65%+
16%
70%+
10%
$107,717 Vol.
55%+
$34,332 Vol.
78%
60%+
$41,111 Vol.
33%
65%+
$9,428 Vol.
16%
70%+
$5,516 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI’s latest frontier models, including GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra variants, have posted Humanity’s Last Exam scores in the mid-to-high 50s as of mid-September 2026, trailing Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 systems at 59–65% on major leaderboards. Rapid progress on this expert-level, low-contamination benchmark—designed to test frontier reasoning across math, science, and humanities—has been driven by improved chain-of-thought, scaling, and agentic scaffolding, though OpenAI remains behind in the latest public snapshots. With three months left in 2026, trader consensus reflects expectations of further OpenAI releases or optimizations pushing past 55%, while 60%+ remains contested due to the benchmark’s difficulty and competitive dynamics with Anthropic and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volume
$107,717Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI’s latest frontier models, including GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra variants, have posted Humanity’s Last Exam scores in the mid-to-high 50s as of mid-September 2026, trailing Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 systems at 59–65% on major leaderboards. Rapid progress on this expert-level, low-contamination benchmark—designed to test frontier reasoning across math, science, and humanities—has been driven by improved chain-of-thought, scaling, and agentic scaffolding, though OpenAI remains behind in the latest public snapshots. With three months left in 2026, trader consensus reflects expectations of further OpenAI releases or optimizations pushing past 55%, while 60%+ remains contested due to the benchmark’s difficulty and competitive dynamics with Anthropic and others.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$107,717Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s latest frontier models, including GPT-5.4 Pro and GPT-6 Astra variants, have posted Humanity’s Last Exam scores in the mid-to-high 50s as of mid-September 2026, trailing Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 systems at 59–65% on major leaderboards. Rapid progress on this expert-level, low-contamination benchmark—designed to test frontier reasoning across math, science, and humanities—has been driven by improved chain-of-thought, scaling, and agentic scaffolding, though OpenAI remains behind in the latest public snapshots. With three months left in 2026, trader consensus reflects expectations of further OpenAI releases or optimizations pushing past 55%, while 60%+ remains contested due to the benchmark’s difficulty and competitive dynamics with Anthropic and others.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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