Skip to main content
icon for Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknologi·AI

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknologi·AI

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

BARU
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,729 Vol.

Polymarket

50%+

$0 Vol.

49%

55%+

$779 Vol.

50%

60%+

$670 Vol.

15%

65%+

$0 Vol.

31%

70%+

$281 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI trails current Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with its strongest GPT-5.6 variants scoring around 47-57% while Anthropic’s Claude models (Fable 5, Mythos Preview) hold top spots near 53-65%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, released in 2025 by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests graduate-level knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities and has proven resistant to rapid gains beyond agentic techniques like OpenAI’s earlier Deep Research system. Traders focus on OpenAI’s history of iterative releases, substantial compute resources, and potential 2026 model launches or fine-tuning advances that could close the gap, balanced against sustained competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Key catalysts include any major GPT updates or benchmark-specific optimizations before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,729
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI trails current Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards, with its strongest GPT-5.6 variants scoring around 47-57% while Anthropic’s Claude models (Fable 5, Mythos Preview) hold top spots near 53-65%. The 2,500-question expert benchmark, released in 2025 by the Center for AI Safety and Scale AI, tests graduate-level knowledge across math, sciences, and humanities and has proven resistant to rapid gains beyond agentic techniques like OpenAI’s earlier Deep Research system. Traders focus on OpenAI’s history of iterative releases, substantial compute resources, and potential 2026 model launches or fine-tuning advances that could close the gap, balanced against sustained competition from Anthropic and Google DeepMind. Key catalysts include any major GPT updates or benchmark-specific optimizations before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$1,729
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Terkait

icon for Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

46%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

46%
icon for Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

69%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "55%+" di 50%, diikuti oleh "50%+" di 49%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 50¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Jul 23, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" adalah "55%+" di 50%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 50% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "50%+" di 49%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.