Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on July 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 16?
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 12%
28°C 3.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
28%
30°C
50%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 12%
28°C 3.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
26°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$377 Vol.
2%
28°C
$312 Vol.
4%
29°C
$153 Vol.
28%
30°C
$628 Vol.
50%
31°C
$807 Vol.
12%
32°C
$947 Vol.
2%
33°C
$517 Vol.
1%
34°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$159 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$431 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$4,533Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,533Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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