Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, reflecting model consensus for typical early-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Seasonal climatology places average daily highs near 15–17°C this time of year, with cool southerly flow and limited solar heating keeping temperatures from rising sharply. Recent ensemble forecasts show no strong warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would push readings into the upper teens, while overnight lows around 8–10°C support modest daytime recovery. Minor model spread exists around frontal timing, yet the narrow range of outcomes favored by the market aligns with historical August variability and current observational trends. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 2?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 2?
16°C 41%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
28%
16°C
41%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
3%
16°C 41%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 2, 2026
9°C or below
$287 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$116 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$168 Vol.
1%
13°C
$232 Vol.
2%
14°C
$742 Vol.
11%
15°C
$458 Vol.
28%
16°C
$3,991 Vol.
41%
17°C
$313 Vol.
16%
18°C
$159 Vol.
4%
19°C or higher
$224 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, reflecting model consensus for typical early-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Seasonal climatology places average daily highs near 15–17°C this time of year, with cool southerly flow and limited solar heating keeping temperatures from rising sharply. Recent ensemble forecasts show no strong warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would push readings into the upper teens, while overnight lows around 8–10°C support modest daytime recovery. Minor model spread exists around frontal timing, yet the narrow range of outcomes favored by the market aligns with historical August variability and current observational trends. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$6,805Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, reflecting model consensus for typical early-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Seasonal climatology places average daily highs near 15–17°C this time of year, with cool southerly flow and limited solar heating keeping temperatures from rising sharply. Recent ensemble forecasts show no strong warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would push readings into the upper teens, while overnight lows around 8–10°C support modest daytime recovery. Minor model spread exists around frontal timing, yet the narrow range of outcomes favored by the market aligns with historical August variability and current observational trends. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,805Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a maximum of 15–16°C in Buenos Aires on August 2, reflecting model consensus for typical early-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Seasonal climatology places average daily highs near 15–17°C this time of year, with cool southerly flow and limited solar heating keeping temperatures from rising sharply. Recent ensemble forecasts show no strong warm-air advection or blocking patterns that would push readings into the upper teens, while overnight lows around 8–10°C support modest daytime recovery. Minor model spread exists around frontal timing, yet the narrow range of outcomes favored by the market aligns with historical August variability and current observational trends. Updated guidance from regional meteorological agencies will refine the exact peak ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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