Latest official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 28°C in Chengdu on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited solar heating. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 27–30°C, where small differences in afternoon cloud breaks or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September normals for the Sichuan basin average 26–27°C, but persistent moisture and suppressed insolation this week have kept recent highs at or below that range. Updated model runs overnight and any midday observational adjustments from local stations will be the key near-term catalysts for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
28°C 29%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
9%
27°C
18%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
30°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Sep 21, 2026
24°C or below
$153 Vol.
4%
25°C
$92 Vol.
5%
26°C
$72 Vol.
9%
27°C
$69 Vol.
18%
28°C
$330 Vol.
29%
29°C
$154 Vol.
26%
30°C
$998 Vol.
18%
31°C
$670 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 28°C in Chengdu on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited solar heating. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 27–30°C, where small differences in afternoon cloud breaks or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September normals for the Sichuan basin average 26–27°C, but persistent moisture and suppressed insolation this week have kept recent highs at or below that range. Updated model runs overnight and any midday observational adjustments from local stations will be the key near-term catalysts for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,649Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 28°C in Chengdu on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited solar heating. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 27–30°C, where small differences in afternoon cloud breaks or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September normals for the Sichuan basin average 26–27°C, but persistent moisture and suppressed insolation this week have kept recent highs at or below that range. Updated model runs overnight and any midday observational adjustments from local stations will be the key near-term catalysts for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,649Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime high near 28°C in Chengdu on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited solar heating. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 27–30°C, where small differences in afternoon cloud breaks or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September normals for the Sichuan basin average 26–27°C, but persistent moisture and suppressed insolation this week have kept recent highs at or below that range. Updated model runs overnight and any midday observational adjustments from local stations will be the key near-term catalysts for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan