Latest forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC project a daytime high of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C at 56% implied probability. Chongqing's subtropical basin geography traps heat and limits ventilation, while peak August solar radiation and typical humidity levels around 40–60% support mid-30s maxima, consistent with climatological averages near 34–35°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures below 35°C or push them to 38°C or higher. Traders appear to view the narrow 35–37°C range as the most likely outcome given stable observational trends and short time to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 13?
36°C 86%
37°C 13%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$54,810 Vol.
$54,810 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
86%
37°C
13%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 86%
37°C 13%
38°C <1%
39°C <1%
$54,810 Vol.
$54,810 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
86%
37°C
13%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office and BBC project a daytime high of 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 13 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 36°C at 56% implied probability. Chongqing's subtropical basin geography traps heat and limits ventilation, while peak August solar radiation and typical humidity levels around 40–60% support mid-30s maxima, consistent with climatological averages near 34–35°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these values, with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to suppress temperatures below 35°C or push them to 38°C or higher. Traders appear to view the narrow 35–37°C range as the most likely outcome given stable observational trends and short time to resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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