Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with the city’s typical mid-May climatology, when southwest monsoon influences begin raising highs from the mid-20s toward 30°C under increasing humidity and variable cloud cover. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal-to-above-normal temperatures for May–July amid ongoing climate warming trends, providing supporting context for the observed value. While the official reading leaves little room for revision, realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies in station data, such as localized microclimate effects or post-event quality-control adjustments, though such shifts remain rare once preliminary observations are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$297,673 Vol.
$297,673 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$297,673 Vol.
$297,673 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 27°C on May 15, 2026, anchoring near-certain trader consensus on that outcome. This aligns with the city’s typical mid-May climatology, when southwest monsoon influences begin raising highs from the mid-20s toward 30°C under increasing humidity and variable cloud cover. Seasonal forecasts from the Observatory had projected normal-to-above-normal temperatures for May–July amid ongoing climate warming trends, providing supporting context for the observed value. While the official reading leaves little room for revision, realistic challenges would require documented discrepancies in station data, such as localized microclimate effects or post-event quality-control adjustments, though such shifts remain rare once preliminary observations are released.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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