**Forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models positions clear to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 30°C for Jinan on September 4, driving the 79.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Persistent northeast flow under high pressure has maintained dry, stable air masses with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected through the period. Recent observations show daytime maxima of 28–31°C in the preceding days, consistent with early-September climatology before the broader cooling trend noted in mid-range outlooks for September 6–9. Model agreement on light winds and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supports efficient daytime heating without convective disruption. Any late revisions in CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution would represent the main variable for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on September 4?
26°C or higher 84%
24°C 10%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
84%
26°C or higher 84%
24°C 10%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and international models positions clear to mostly sunny conditions with highs near 30°C for Jinan on September 4, driving the 79.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher.** Persistent northeast flow under high pressure has maintained dry, stable air masses with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems or precipitation expected through the period. Recent observations show daytime maxima of 28–31°C in the preceding days, consistent with early-September climatology before the broader cooling trend noted in mid-range outlooks for September 6–9. Model agreement on light winds and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supports efficient daytime heating without convective disruption. Any late revisions in CMA or ECMWF guidance ahead of resolution would represent the main variable for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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