Madrid's continental climate typically drives peak summer highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius in early August, with limited maritime moderation and persistent high-pressure patterns favoring clear skies and radiative heating. Current forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on maximum temperatures of 32–34°C for August 3, reflecting a modest cooling trend after late-July heat. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 47% implied probability, aligns with these ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the first week of the month, while narrower spreads around 32°C and 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local wind patterns ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 3?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 3?
33°C 48%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
19%
33°C
48%
34°C
23%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 23%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 3, 2026
29°C or below
$70 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$25 Vol.
2%
31°C
$368 Vol.
4%
32°C
$816 Vol.
19%
33°C
$409 Vol.
48%
34°C
$379 Vol.
23%
35°C
$307 Vol.
6%
36°C
$216 Vol.
3%
37°C
$27 Vol.
1%
38°C
$137 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's continental climate typically drives peak summer highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius in early August, with limited maritime moderation and persistent high-pressure patterns favoring clear skies and radiative heating. Current forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on maximum temperatures of 32–34°C for August 3, reflecting a modest cooling trend after late-July heat. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 47% implied probability, aligns with these ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the first week of the month, while narrower spreads around 32°C and 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local wind patterns ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,905Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Madrid's continental climate typically drives peak summer highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius in early August, with limited maritime moderation and persistent high-pressure patterns favoring clear skies and radiative heating. Current forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on maximum temperatures of 32–34°C for August 3, reflecting a modest cooling trend after late-July heat. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 47% implied probability, aligns with these ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the first week of the month, while narrower spreads around 32°C and 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local wind patterns ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,905Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Madrid's continental climate typically drives peak summer highs into the low-to-mid 30s Celsius in early August, with limited maritime moderation and persistent high-pressure patterns favoring clear skies and radiative heating. Current forecast models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services converge on maximum temperatures of 32–34°C for August 3, reflecting a modest cooling trend after late-July heat. Trader consensus, with 33°C leading at 47% implied probability, aligns with these ensemble outputs and historical analogs for the first week of the month, while narrower spreads around 32°C and 34°C capture remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and local wind patterns ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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