Forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Mexico indicate a highest temperature near 24–25°C for Mexico City on June 12, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds around those levels. At the city's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters, daytime maxima are moderated compared to lower-altitude regions, while the early rainy season brings increased cloud cover and afternoon convective activity that often limits peak heating. Historical June averages show highs of 24–25°C, with daily variability driven by solar radiation, humidity advection from the Gulf, and the timing of showers. Recent model runs suggest minimal deviation from these climatological norms, leaving room for small shifts based on final observational data before resolution.