Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 12?
21°C 34%
20°C 31%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
31%
21°C
34%
22°C
17%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 34%
20°C 31%
22°C 17%
19°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Jun 12, 2026
16°C or below
$42 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$200 Vol.
2%
18°C
$76 Vol.
3%
19°C
$43 Vol.
11%
20°C
$157 Vol.
31%
21°C
$102 Vol.
34%
22°C
$89 Vol.
17%
23°C
$43 Vol.
8%
24°C
$154 Vol.
3%
25°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$42 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$999Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$999Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and European model runs for São Paulo indicate a high near 20–21 °C on June 12 under a cool, moist airmass with light northwesterly flow and possible light rain. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with clearer June climatology, keeping the most likely maximum in the narrow 20–22 °C window that currently dominates trader pricing. Slight differences in cloud-cover timing and boundary-layer moisture among ensembles create the near-even split between the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, while any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings to 22 °C. Updated model guidance and observational data ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key inputs for refining these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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