Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in NYC on June 12?
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 12%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
3%
94-95°F 37%
92-93°F 28%
96-97°F 24%
90-91°F 12%
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
28%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
6%
100°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, supporting peak temperatures in the low to mid-90s for Central Park on June 12, 2026, with afternoon humidity and light winds limiting further intensification. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread, with some runs favoring 92–93°F under slightly stronger onshore flow while others reach 94–96°F if subsidence strengthens. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 92–97°F brackets, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and historical June variability where similar setups have produced 2–4°F forecast adjustments by morning. Updated runs from the 12Z cycle and any overnight observations will likely refine the final observed high before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan