Latest numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) converge on a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover following a recent cold-air outbreak and associated low-pressure system across southern Brazil. This places the outcome several degrees below the city’s typical August climatological high of 23–25 °C. International forecasts from the Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC align closely with this range, citing light-to-moderate southeasterly winds and limited insolation as key limiting factors. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 17–19 °C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable model solutions ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 10?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 10?
18°C 41%
17°C 28%
19°C 24%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
28%
18°C
41%
19°C
24%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 41%
17°C 28%
19°C 24%
16°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 10, 2026
14°C or below
$196 Vol.
1%
15°C
$379 Vol.
1%
16°C
$524 Vol.
7%
17°C
$696 Vol.
28%
18°C
$327 Vol.
41%
19°C
$511 Vol.
24%
20°C
$342 Vol.
6%
21°C
$179 Vol.
2%
22°C
$163 Vol.
1%
23°C
$199 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$253 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) converge on a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover following a recent cold-air outbreak and associated low-pressure system across southern Brazil. This places the outcome several degrees below the city’s typical August climatological high of 23–25 °C. International forecasts from the Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC align closely with this range, citing light-to-moderate southeasterly winds and limited insolation as key limiting factors. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 17–19 °C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable model solutions ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$3,770Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) converge on a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover following a recent cold-air outbreak and associated low-pressure system across southern Brazil. This places the outcome several degrees below the city’s typical August climatological high of 23–25 °C. International forecasts from the Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC align closely with this range, citing light-to-moderate southeasterly winds and limited insolation as key limiting factors. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 17–19 °C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable model solutions ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,770Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models and guidance from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) converge on a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C for São Paulo on August 10, driven by cooler southerly flow and increased cloud cover following a recent cold-air outbreak and associated low-pressure system across southern Brazil. This places the outcome several degrees below the city’s typical August climatological high of 23–25 °C. International forecasts from the Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC align closely with this range, citing light-to-moderate southeasterly winds and limited insolation as key limiting factors. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 17–19 °C, reflecting trader assessment of these stable model solutions ahead of final observational confirmation.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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