Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 16?
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
33%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 33%
35°C 18%
38°C 5.5%
BARU
BARU
Jul 16, 2026
31°C or below
$163 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$361 Vol.
1%
33°C
$340 Vol.
1%
34°C
$469 Vol.
3%
35°C
$319 Vol.
18%
36°C
$461 Vol.
42%
37°C
$707 Vol.
33%
38°C
$520 Vol.
6%
39°C
$1,356 Vol.
1%
40°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$366 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,354Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,354Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles for Wuhan point to daytime maxima near 35–37 °C on July 16, driven by the strengthening western Pacific subtropical high and typical East Asian summer monsoon flow that favors warm, humid advection across central China. Lingering effects from Super Typhoon Bavi, which brought heavy rainfall to Hubei province earlier in the week, have introduced variable cloud cover and convective timing that add modest forecast spread. These conditions align with July climatology, where average highs climb toward 35 °C mid-month before peaking later, supporting the market’s concentration of implied probability on 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes while leaving room for slight model shifts before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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