USGS monitoring data through May 17 confirm six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide during the May 11–17 window, aligning with the market’s 95% implied probability for that outcome. Global seismic networks recorded these events primarily along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, consistent with typical weekly rates for events above the 5.5 threshold on the moment magnitude scale. No revisions to preliminary magnitudes or additional late detections have emerged from official catalogs, reinforcing trader consensus. The outcome could shift only if final USGS or international agency reviews reclassify one or more events across the 5.5 boundary or uncover an unreported aftershock sequence exceeding that magnitude.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 11 - May 17?
6 95.0%
7 4.5%
4 <1%
≤3 <1%
$153,767 Vol.
$153,767 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
<1%
4
<1%
5
<1%
6
95%
7
5%
8
<1%
9
<1%
>9
<1%
6 95.0%
7 4.5%
4 <1%
≤3 <1%
$153,767 Vol.
$153,767 Vol.
May 17, 2026
≤3
$68,016 Vol.
<1%
4
$20,043 Vol.
<1%
5
$20,157 Vol.
<1%
6
$5,800 Vol.
95%
7
$6,529 Vol.
5%
8
$8,163 Vol.
<1%
9
$6,860 Vol.
<1%
>9
$18,199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS monitoring data through May 17 confirm six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide during the May 11–17 window, aligning with the market’s 95% implied probability for that outcome. Global seismic networks recorded these events primarily along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, consistent with typical weekly rates for events above the 5.5 threshold on the moment magnitude scale. No revisions to preliminary magnitudes or additional late detections have emerged from official catalogs, reinforcing trader consensus. The outcome could shift only if final USGS or international agency reviews reclassify one or more events across the 5.5 boundary or uncover an unreported aftershock sequence exceeding that magnitude.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Pasar Dibuka: May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$153,767Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS monitoring data through May 17 confirm six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide during the May 11–17 window, aligning with the market’s 95% implied probability for that outcome. Global seismic networks recorded these events primarily along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, consistent with typical weekly rates for events above the 5.5 threshold on the moment magnitude scale. No revisions to preliminary magnitudes or additional late detections have emerged from official catalogs, reinforcing trader consensus. The outcome could shift only if final USGS or international agency reviews reclassify one or more events across the 5.5 boundary or uncover an unreported aftershock sequence exceeding that magnitude.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between May 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$153,767Tanggal Berakhir
May 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 9, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...USGS monitoring data through May 17 confirm six earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or greater worldwide during the May 11–17 window, aligning with the market’s 95% implied probability for that outcome. Global seismic networks recorded these events primarily along subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire, consistent with typical weekly rates for events above the 5.5 threshold on the moment magnitude scale. No revisions to preliminary magnitudes or additional late detections have emerged from official catalogs, reinforcing trader consensus. The outcome could shift only if final USGS or international agency reviews reclassify one or more events across the 5.5 boundary or uncover an unreported aftershock sequence exceeding that magnitude.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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