Recent developments in the Trump administration's Gold Card visa program have shaped trader consensus around low 2026 sales volumes. Launched via executive order in late 2025 as a $1 million contribution pathway to expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency, the initiative has faced repeated delays in approvals, legal challenges over processing timelines, and limited uptake among eligible applicants. Official updates through May 2026 indicate just one approval and modest application fees paid despite earlier revenue projections, reinforcing skepticism that volumes will scale significantly before year-end. These factors position the 1-100 outcome as the market's leading assessment, with higher tiers reflecting residual uncertainty over potential late-year acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 68.0%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
3%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
6%
1-100 68.0%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.8%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,180 Vol.
$235,180 Vol.
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1k-2.5k
4%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
3%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in the Trump administration's Gold Card visa program have shaped trader consensus around low 2026 sales volumes. Launched via executive order in late 2025 as a $1 million contribution pathway to expedited EB-1 or EB-2 residency, the initiative has faced repeated delays in approvals, legal challenges over processing timelines, and limited uptake among eligible applicants. Official updates through May 2026 indicate just one approval and modest application fees paid despite earlier revenue projections, reinforcing skepticism that volumes will scale significantly before year-end. These factors position the 1-100 outcome as the market's leading assessment, with higher tiers reflecting residual uncertainty over potential late-year acceleration.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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