Trader consensus prices the 1-100 outcome highest because the Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, has recorded minimal uptake since applications opened in December. Official data through mid-2026 show one approval, roughly 338 requests, and 165 processing fees paid amid extended vetting. The $1 million individual contribution (reduced from an initial $5 million proposal) plus $15,000 fees, combined with ongoing litigation over executive authority and competition from existing employment-based visa categories, have limited participation. No major policy shifts or demand surges have altered this trajectory in recent months, keeping higher-volume brackets at low implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
65%
101-1k
4%
1k-2.5k
1%
2.5k-5k
1%
5k-10k
2%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25k-100k 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$18,522 Vol.
65%
101-1k
$41,423 Vol.
4%
1k-2.5k
$11,376 Vol.
1%
2.5k-5k
$11,094 Vol.
1%
5k-10k
$11,989 Vol.
2%
10k-25k
$116,872 Vol.
2%
25k-100k
$11,454 Vol.
2%
>100k
$26,118 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices the 1-100 outcome highest because the Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, has recorded minimal uptake since applications opened in December. Official data through mid-2026 show one approval, roughly 338 requests, and 165 processing fees paid amid extended vetting. The $1 million individual contribution (reduced from an initial $5 million proposal) plus $15,000 fees, combined with ongoing litigation over executive authority and competition from existing employment-based visa categories, have limited participation. No major policy shifts or demand surges have altered this trajectory in recent months, keeping higher-volume brackets at low implied probabilities.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$293,275Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices the 1-100 outcome highest because the Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, has recorded minimal uptake since applications opened in December. Official data through mid-2026 show one approval, roughly 338 requests, and 165 processing fees paid amid extended vetting. The $1 million individual contribution (reduced from an initial $5 million proposal) plus $15,000 fees, combined with ongoing litigation over executive authority and competition from existing employment-based visa categories, have limited participation. No major policy shifts or demand surges have altered this trajectory in recent months, keeping higher-volume brackets at low implied probabilities.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$293,275Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027Pasar Dibuka
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices the 1-100 outcome highest because the Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, has recorded minimal uptake since applications opened in December. Official data through mid-2026 show one approval, roughly 338 requests, and 165 processing fees paid amid extended vetting. The $1 million individual contribution (reduced from an initial $5 million proposal) plus $15,000 fees, combined with ongoing litigation over executive authority and competition from existing employment-based visa categories, have limited participation. No major policy shifts or demand surges have altered this trajectory in recent months, keeping higher-volume brackets at low implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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