SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
BARU
BARU
May 31, 2026
≤8
25%
9
15%
10
12%
11
35%
12
46%
13
49%
14 or more
6%
12 46%
11 35%
9 15%
10 12%
BARU
BARU
May 31, 2026
≤8
$208 Vol.
25%
9
$73 Vol.
15%
10
$71 Vol.
12%
11
$50 Vol.
35%
12
$50 Vol.
46%
13
$121 Vol.
49%
14 or more
$643 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$1,217Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between May 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$1,217Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 27, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, supported by reusable boosters and quick ground processing at Cape Canaveral and Vandenberg, underpins the market's tight clustering between 12 and 13 total launches for May. With three missions completed early in the month and a dense remaining manifest of Starlink deployments scheduled for May 19, 21, 23, and 25, plus a Starship flight test window opening around May 19, traders see high feasibility for reaching the higher end of historical monthly rates. Potential range constraints, weather holds, or minor technical scrubs introduce the narrow gap between 12 and 13, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent major delays.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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