The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory. An open seat following incumbent Robin Kelly's Senate bid has not altered the fundamentals, with Donna Miller securing the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and facing Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Historical margins of 25-40 points in this South Side Chicago and suburban district reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$19,249 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory. An open seat following incumbent Robin Kelly's Senate bid has not altered the fundamentals, with Donna Miller securing the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and facing Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Historical margins of 25-40 points in this South Side Chicago and suburban district reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,686Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory. An open seat following incumbent Robin Kelly's Senate bid has not altered the fundamentals, with Donna Miller securing the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and facing Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Historical margins of 25-40 points in this South Side Chicago and suburban district reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,686Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ anchor trader consensus on a Democratic victory. An open seat following incumbent Robin Kelly's Senate bid has not altered the fundamentals, with Donna Miller securing the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and facing Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Historical margins of 25-40 points in this South Side Chicago and suburban district reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health issue, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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