The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 2nd congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election. Robin Kelly’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat created an open race, yet Donna Miller’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a unified party nominee with local governing experience. Republican nominee Mike Noack faced no primary opposition and confronts limited structural support in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant nominee-specific controversy, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few signs of such shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$33,686 Vol.
$33,686 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$19,249 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 2nd congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election. Robin Kelly’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat created an open race, yet Donna Miller’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a unified party nominee with local governing experience. Republican nominee Mike Noack faced no primary opposition and confronts limited structural support in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant nominee-specific controversy, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few signs of such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,686Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 2nd congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election. Robin Kelly’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat created an open race, yet Donna Miller’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a unified party nominee with local governing experience. Republican nominee Mike Noack faced no primary opposition and confronts limited structural support in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant nominee-specific controversy, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few signs of such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,686Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Democratic lean of Illinois’s 2nd congressional district, rated D+18 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election. Robin Kelly’s decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat created an open race, yet Donna Miller’s victory in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., established a unified party nominee with local governing experience. Republican nominee Mike Noack faced no primary opposition and confronts limited structural support in a district that has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as a national partisan swing, significant nominee-specific controversy, or unusually depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions show few signs of such shifts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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