Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election places Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a narrow band of roughly 6–9 Knesset seats, reflecting volatility from right-wing fragmentation, competition with Religious Zionism–Zehut and Likud for nationalist voters, and the impact of new lists such as Ofer Winter’s party that have pushed smaller factions near the electoral threshold. Late list submissions, undecided voters around 11%, and bloc realignments between the Netanyahu-aligned right and Eisenkot-led opposition have kept seat projections fluctuating by 1–2 mandates across surveys. Traders price the 5.5–7.5% ranges most heavily because small shifts in turnout or threshold crossings could move the party into adjacent vote-share bands before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui5.5-6.5% 44%
6.5-7.5% 40%
4.5-5.5% 36%
7.5%+ 36%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
31%
4.5-5.5%
36%
5.5-6.5%
44%
6.5-7.5%
40%
7.5%+
36%
5.5-6.5% 44%
6.5-7.5% 40%
4.5-5.5% 36%
7.5%+ 36%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$0 Vol.
31%
4.5-5.5%
$0 Vol.
36%
5.5-6.5%
$0 Vol.
44%
6.5-7.5%
$0 Vol.
40%
7.5%+
$0 Vol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election places Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a narrow band of roughly 6–9 Knesset seats, reflecting volatility from right-wing fragmentation, competition with Religious Zionism–Zehut and Likud for nationalist voters, and the impact of new lists such as Ofer Winter’s party that have pushed smaller factions near the electoral threshold. Late list submissions, undecided voters around 11%, and bloc realignments between the Netanyahu-aligned right and Eisenkot-led opposition have kept seat projections fluctuating by 1–2 mandates across surveys. Traders price the 5.5–7.5% ranges most heavily because small shifts in turnout or threshold crossings could move the party into adjacent vote-share bands before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election places Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a narrow band of roughly 6–9 Knesset seats, reflecting volatility from right-wing fragmentation, competition with Religious Zionism–Zehut and Likud for nationalist voters, and the impact of new lists such as Ofer Winter’s party that have pushed smaller factions near the electoral threshold. Late list submissions, undecided voters around 11%, and bloc realignments between the Netanyahu-aligned right and Eisenkot-led opposition have kept seat projections fluctuating by 1–2 mandates across surveys. Traders price the 5.5–7.5% ranges most heavily because small shifts in turnout or threshold crossings could move the party into adjacent vote-share bands before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Otzma Yehudit party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Otzma Yehudit's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Otzma Yehudit passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election places Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, in a narrow band of roughly 6–9 Knesset seats, reflecting volatility from right-wing fragmentation, competition with Religious Zionism–Zehut and Likud for nationalist voters, and the impact of new lists such as Ofer Winter’s party that have pushed smaller factions near the electoral threshold. Late list submissions, undecided voters around 11%, and bloc realignments between the Netanyahu-aligned right and Eisenkot-led opposition have kept seat projections fluctuating by 1–2 mandates across surveys. Traders price the 5.5–7.5% ranges most heavily because small shifts in turnout or threshold crossings could move the party into adjacent vote-share bands before election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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