Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 6–9 seats, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% market bands closely matched. The party's secular nationalist base, anchored in the Russian-speaking community and emphasizing universal conscription plus security priorities, faces competition for right-leaning voters from parties such as Together and Yashar. A surplus-vote agreement with Together and the recent unveiling of a candidate list featuring figures tied to October 7 losses have reinforced its positioning as an alternative to the Netanyahu-led bloc. Limited recent shifts in voter intentions and ongoing coalition maneuvering sustain the narrow spread, while events such as turnout among core supporters or late security developments could widen separation ahead of election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui6-7% 34%
5-6% 21%
7-8% 20%
<5% 18%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
18%
5-6%
21%
6-7%
34%
7-8%
21%
8%+
18%
6-7% 34%
5-6% 21%
7-8% 20%
<5% 18%
BARU
BARU
Nov 30, 2026
<5%
$824 Vol.
18%
5-6%
$119 Vol.
21%
6-7%
$208 Vol.
34%
7-8%
$132 Vol.
21%
8%+
$47 Vol.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 6–9 seats, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% market bands closely matched. The party's secular nationalist base, anchored in the Russian-speaking community and emphasizing universal conscription plus security priorities, faces competition for right-leaning voters from parties such as Together and Yashar. A surplus-vote agreement with Together and the recent unveiling of a candidate list featuring figures tied to October 7 losses have reinforced its positioning as an alternative to the Netanyahu-led bloc. Limited recent shifts in voter intentions and ongoing coalition maneuvering sustain the narrow spread, while events such as turnout among core supporters or late security developments could widen separation ahead of election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volume
$1,329Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 6–9 seats, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% market bands closely matched. The party's secular nationalist base, anchored in the Russian-speaking community and emphasizing universal conscription plus security priorities, faces competition for right-leaning voters from parties such as Together and Yashar. A surplus-vote agreement with Together and the recent unveiling of a candidate list featuring figures tied to October 7 losses have reinforced its positioning as an alternative to the Netanyahu-led bloc. Limited recent shifts in voter intentions and ongoing coalition maneuvering sustain the narrow spread, while events such as turnout among core supporters or late security developments could widen separation ahead of election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yisrael Beiteinu party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yisrael Beiteinu's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yisrael Beiteinu passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$1,329Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Yisrael Beiteinu consistently projected at 6–9 seats, translating to roughly 5–7.5% of the vote and keeping the 5–6% and 6–7% market bands closely matched. The party's secular nationalist base, anchored in the Russian-speaking community and emphasizing universal conscription plus security priorities, faces competition for right-leaning voters from parties such as Together and Yashar. A surplus-vote agreement with Together and the recent unveiling of a candidate list featuring figures tied to October 7 losses have reinforced its positioning as an alternative to the Netanyahu-led bloc. Limited recent shifts in voter intentions and ongoing coalition maneuvering sustain the narrow spread, while events such as turnout among core supporters or late security developments could widen separation ahead of election day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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